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Game Week: Prediction Time

My prediction for the Michigan game will be short for a number of reasons:

  1. Everyone knows the task facing UMass;
  2. I just got off a 12-hour shift, and most importantly;
  3. I have to wake up at 4 a.m. to catch a red-eye flight to beautiful Detroit.

To put it plainly, Michigan is just flat-out better than UMass in every aspect of the game. I’m not going to pile on, and I’m not going attack the Minutemen for their obvious deficiencies. I’m simply stating what every college football fan already knows.

Back in 2010, UMass was able to keep it close. However, that was a team fully committed to a system (for better or worse), had depth on both offense and defense, and had a quarterback in Kyle Havens that was adequate enough to keep the Minutemen in games (again, for better or worse). That UMass team also played a Rich Rodriguez-led Wolverines squad that didn’t focus on defense and was still taking baby steps toward his vision.

Michigan won that day because it was led by a young and undeveloped Denard Robinson. He’s coming back for a second helping – this time as a seasoned veteran.

UMass returns to the Big House surrounded by so much newness that comparing it to the 2010 squad would be comparable to standing two completely different football programs side-by-side. It has a new quarterback, a new coaching staff, a new look, a new stadium and fresh faces at nearly every unit. It is a program seeking a new identity, fan base and place in the college football world.

As it drags itself through the awkward phase of all the new, it will take its beatings, much like anyone else venturing on a brave campaign into the unknown.

Michigan represents a pre-graded failing test, if indeed passing requires victory. If passing means progress on offense and stemming the imminent tide – if even for a few possessions – on defense, UMass has every chance to pass.

Passing requires UMass to play its best game as an FBS program. While the Minutemen may take a step forward, they are likely far from putting anything above an F on the refrigerator.

My prediction:

  • Michigan: 56
  • UMass: 10

3 Comments

  1. Sam The MinuteFan says:

    Michigan: 45
    UMass: 10

    I think holding MI to 45 or less would be a “win.” I don’t know if we will be able to see any noticeable improvements because Michigan is so good, but hopefully they are there.

  2. Larry says:

    Michigan 43 UMass 37 . . . . .nope sorry I was dreaming back a few yrs ago

    This time around Michigan 49 Umass 19 and we continue to improve in small steps.

  3. Andy says:

    Your 56-10 prediction seems reasonable if Michigan is kind and has the 3rd stringers on the field towards games end. The 10 for Umass would seem to indicate we connect on a PAT and a FG, and both would be firsts of the season.







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